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July 30th, 2009

Crazy talk: Apple should ditch the Mac?

Posted by David Morgenstern @ 5:24 pm

Categories: AAPL, Consumer electronics, Mac OS, Smartphone, iPhone 3GS

Tags: Apple iPhone, Apple Macintosh, Margin, Apple Inc., Desktops, Smart Phones, Hardware, Consumer Electronics, Personal Technology, David Morgenstern

Industry observers point to the amazing margins of the iPhone and the declining margins for computers. So, of course, the logical course of action is for Apple to abandon the Macintosh? It’s crazy talk.

In a Thursday BNET Technology post, Erik Sherman pointed to some recent analyst figures on the iPhone margins. They are amazing.

You’ll have to read his piece for the details, but the short take is that the margin of the iPhone appears to be nearly 60 percent. That’s right, in the world of consumer electronics, Apple is making such a large margin than competitors would likely break out in tears in realization of what they are missing. But instead of simply pocketing the money, it uses the financial advantage to lower Mac prices so it can be more competitive in a cost-sensitive environment.

That raises the question of whether Apple plans a complete shift away from Macs. It needs them for now, but if it can bulk up enough on iPhones and the upcoming tablet, it may be that the Mac becomes an unnecessary endeavor.

The Mac is an “unnecessary endeavor?” Come on! This is crazy talk.

Is the success of the iPhone some kind of a sign that Apple should toss aside its computer hardware and software businesses and become a one-platform company again? A move that would make it totally dependent on the cycles of a single technology, again?

In the greatest turnaround in technological history, Apple executed on its OS transition for its computers and then an equally bold hardware transition to Intel. With the astounding success of its mobile music players and now smartphones, Apple is supported by several solution platforms, all of which leverage its Unix foundation and its object-oriented Xcode IDE.

For this moment, good fortune is shining on Cupertino: that one of its platforms is early in a market life-cycle and another is in a mature one.

Check out:  iPhone adoption in the enterprise to climb

But it’s not as if Mac sales are chopped liver. Based on its latest financial reports, Apple sold 2.6 million Macs in the last quarter, a four percent year-over-year increase. The acceptance of the Mac in a number of markets is growing, not declining.

Still, Apple executives point to a number of factors hitting the margins on Macs, ignoring rumors of tablets. Here is one of the comments Apple CFO Peter Oppenheimer made in the company’s analyst call last week:

The teams are executing phenomenally well and so that’s something that we are very proud of and I think the results have benefited from that.

You know, regarding gross margins for the September quarter, we’ve had a chance to go through our complete process and I’m guiding to 34% for the September quarter, which is down from the 36% that we just reported.

We expect the margins to decline sequentially as a result of a full quarter of back to school promotion and a full quarter of our new portables and also higher component costs.

I don’t want to make comments today about future quarters but I will give you a couple of things that are on our mind.

First, for many key components, costs are rising and you are seeing that in the market as well. And secondly, we will continue to focus on delivering state-of-the-art products at price points that our competitors can’t match and we are going to provide customers ever-increasing value. And so as you think about quarters beyond September, I would urge you to consider those factors.

No, Chicken Little, the Mac sky isn’t falling.

David MorgensternDavid Morgenstern has covered the Mac market and other technology segments for 20 years. See his full profile and disclosure of his industry affiliations.


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  • Talkback
  • Most Recent of 57 Talkback(s)
Don't get your undies in a bunch. The article is about ditching Mac PC's.
Hence his comment on what would you use to run Photoshop if the Mac PC were ditched.

Of course the Mac should not be ditched. We can't do everything we need using just an iPhone. Get it now? You own him an apology.
... (Read the rest)
Posted by: No More Microsoft Software Ever! Posted on: 08/06/09  (Edited: 08/06/09 @ 11:22) You are currently: a Guest | | Terms of Use
How absurd can so called experts be when it comes  James Quinn | 07/30/09
Apple was dead, until Microsoft bailed them out. Lol (nt)  NeoGeneration | 07/30/09
Are you drunk? That myth has been debunked so many times...  msalzberg | 07/31/09
Maybe he's referring to this?  riverab@... | 07/31/09
Actually, on close inspection  frgough | 07/31/09
A Pooling of Interests.  DannyO_0x98 | 08/01/09
While he's referring to that, those articles don't say WHY Microsoft did it  vulpine@... | 07/31/09
Don't you repay loans?  Bruizer | 08/02/09
The loan was repaid.  vulpine@... | 08/02/09
You remember incorrectly.  msalzberg | 07/31/09
Look what Apple did with $150 Million  Ken_z | 07/31/09
Good point  rahbm | 08/04/09
Steve Jobs' MacWorld Boston 1997 Announcement  jazzbythebay | 07/31/09
Microsoft invested in order to skirt the GUI suit against them.  No More Microsoft Software Ever! | 08/01/09
Best MS PR ever.  Bruizer | 08/02/09
RE: Crazy talk: Apple should ditch the Mac?  newgolddream@... | 07/30/09
"Are they crazy? I HATE cell phones,... "  vulpine@... | 07/31/09
Crazy (as in stupid) talk indeed  Economister | 07/30/09
Are you drunk. ? BSODs come from driver problems or hardware  NeoGeneration | 07/30/09
Sometimes.  Bruizer | 07/31/09
Haven't seen one since windows98  bobiroc | 07/31/09
Serendipity.  msalzberg | 07/31/09
I want to see it!  bendib | 08/01/09
I do have a picture of it...  msalzberg | 08/01/09
They are much more rare.  Bruizer | 08/02/09
Think before you type  Economister | 07/31/09
And When  bobiroc | 07/31/09
You just invalidated your argument.  vulpine@... | 07/31/09
You get what you pay for...  LiquidLearner | 07/31/09
I was just trying to say  bobiroc | 07/31/09
Can you tell me that Dell uses those very same  James Quinn | 07/31/09
@James Quinn  bobiroc | 07/31/09
@bobiroc: While the parts may carry the same brand...  vulpine@... | 07/31/09
Take your helmet off and cool down, NG...  vulpine@... | 07/31/09
RE: Crazy talk: Apple should ditch the Mac?  ErikBSherman | 07/31/09
Sure...  Sleeper Service | 07/31/09
RE: Crazy talk: Apple should ditch the Mac?  shutter@... | 07/31/09
Uh NO  sandmanfvr | 07/31/09
Well seing  bobiroc | 07/31/09
You started this, now explain yourself  vulpine@... | 07/31/09
Ability to run virtual machines or dual boot is not a feature  Rob Oakes | 07/31/09
It seems you failed to answer my question, though.  vulpine@... | 07/31/09
That works both ways.  Sephoroth | 08/02/09
You mean aside from running almost any software in the world?  vulpine@... | 08/05/09
You just proved my point  bobiroc | 07/31/09
In order to run my apps...  msalzberg | 07/31/09
I never said you did  bobiroc | 07/31/09
Please tell me...  msalzberg | 07/31/09
U C 'Can Be Done With Effort' Proves My Point 'Can't B Done'  DannyO_0x98 | 08/01/09
Windows can freeze with a blue screen of death! (NT)  No More Microsoft Software Ever! | 08/06/09
Funny, I feel just the opposite.  msalzberg | 07/31/09
I'm no Mac fan but...  safesax2002 | 07/31/09
Not even relevant to the discussion  rahbm | 08/04/09
Don't get your undies in a bunch. The article is about ditching Mac PC's.  No More Microsoft Software Ever! | 08/06/09
RE: Crazy talk: Apple should ditch the Mac?  lovemagic | 07/31/09
RE: Crazy talk: Apple should ditch the Mac?  phatkat | 07/31/09
ROTFL. Somebody seriously needs a visit to a psychiatrist  Laraine Anne Barker | 07/31/09

What do you think?

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