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February 7th, 2008

Who's been cutting the undersea cables? I think I know

Posted by Russell Shaw @ 10:27 am

Categories: Predictions and Observations

Tags: Cable, Network Technology, Telecommunications, Personal Technology, Networking, Russell Shaw

subcables.jpg

In the swath from Egypt to India, five undersea Internet-phone communication cables have been reported cut this week.

All sorts of conspiracy theories have surfaced, from warring telecom operators to Al-Queda to the CIA. After all first reports, now erroneous, was that Iran’s major undersea cable node went down. Maybe the CIA practicing information warfare against a non-friendly nation?

Or Al-Queda indicating their dispeleasure at some of the feudal monarchies in the region?

Entertaining, if not troubling, theories. Many of these guesses have ;ropogated on the Internet, where you can read every bullchip theory from “Ohio was stolen” and “9/11 was a false flag operation” to missing and presumed deceased balloonist Steve Fossett was abducted by aliens.

But calm down, people. A far more plausible explanation is offered today by the prestigious Economist magazine:

The culprit is Mother Nature.

It may be rare for several cables to go down in a week, but it can happen. Global Marine Systems, a firm that repairs marine cables, says more than 50 cables were cut or damaged in the Atlantic last year; big oceans are criss-crossed by so many cables that a single break has little impact. What was unusual about the damage in the Suez canal was that it took place at a point where two continents’ traffic is borne along only three cables. More are being laid. For the moment, there is only one fair conclusion: the internet is vulnerable, in places, but getting more robust,

I’m inclined to be down with that explanation.

Are you?

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Russell Shaw is an enterprise computing journalist, analyst and author based in Portland, Oregon. See his full profile and disclosure of his industry affiliations.

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