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November 5th, 2008

Open source valuations remain birdseed

Posted by Dana Blankenhorn @ 11:10 am

Categories: General, business models, management, marketing, publishing, venture capital

Tags: Valuation, Investment, Linux, Open Source, Finance, Operating Systems, Software, Dana Blankenhorn

Open Source money from Royal Pingdom blogPingdom, a Web site monitoring outfit, did a piece on open source corporate valuations on its blog recent and they make sobering reading.

You’ll never be Bill Gates working in open source.

The valuations offered are, frankly, birdseed. Mozilla brought in under $67 million, 85% from Google. Canonical, the sponsor of Ubuntu, still isn’t profitable. SUSE Linux may book $110 million in revenue this year, Red Hat about $600 million.

If these were taco stands this would be serious dosh. But these are the leaders in what is becoming the dominant end of the software market.

Of course sometimes the bottom line is not the bottom line. Judging the success of open source merely through vendor revenue numbers is very short-sighted.

Much of the value in open source is money that customers aren’t spending, value which is plowed into other businesses, far beyond software.

The nature of asset value is also different. The code is the chief asset of open source, while in the proprietary world it’s generally goodwill.

And that code, as we’ve seen, is immensely valuable. But who holds that value? No one person or company does. Everyone does.

This is why proprietary critics continue hammering on open source as a loser. The criticism is valid, but short-sighted and irrelevant.

Your bottom line is not the only bottom line. Mine counts for something, too.

Dana BlankenhornDana Blankenhorn has been a business journalist for 30 years, a tech freelancer since 1983. You can follow Dana on Twitter. See his full profile and disclosure of his industry affiliations.

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  • Talkback
  • Most Recent of 50 Talkback(s)
Times have changed, you have to make ludacris amounts of cash
doing something that isn't easily replicated by competitors, that locks a market into its tunnel vision, and the buyer culture behind it and ignore other options, . . . since Windows time at that torc... (Read the rest)
Posted by: Boot_Agnostic Posted on: 11/19/08 You are currently: a Guest | | Terms of Use
You'll never be Bill Gates  Yagotta B. Kidding | 11/05/08
Also  daengbo | 11/06/08
Maybe it is time for some of these  GuidingLight | 11/05/08
a valid business model...  DanaBlankenhornZDNet Moderator | 11/05/08
Dana, lets be serious  No_Ax_to_Grind | 11/06/08
In business you can't go nowhere for years  hamobu | 11/06/08
what business model? back to basics.  Mitch 74 | 11/09/08
"send some money back"  LBiege | 11/05/08
well maybe there a alternative to capitalism  Quebec-french | 11/05/08
No you will not  GuidingLight | 11/05/08
you may have the suprise of you life  Quebec-french | 11/05/08
You got that right...just look at the  socialism=nowhere | 11/06/08
He hasn't been right about anything yet...  socialism=nowhere | 11/06/08
yes it is called Communism = Free Software  dragon@... | 11/06/08
You are missing it entirely  GuidingLight | 11/05/08
Actually, at Ubuntu, they only package other open source projects. Yes,  DonnieBoy | 11/05/08
And if the money runs out in three to five years  GuidingLight | 11/05/08
More to open source than Ubuntu  hamobu | 11/06/08
TBYB Model  Spats30 | 11/06/08
How true is this...  MisterMiester | 11/05/08
Mixed Up Model  trevorhunter@... | 11/07/08
I don't know where you get your data...  hamobu | 11/07/08
Dana : "in the proprietary world it?s generally goodwill"  fr0thy2 | 11/05/08
And, this is the point, with the free software model, and everybody shares,  DonnieBoy | 11/05/08
Is that so?  GuidingLight | 11/05/08
The proof is in the pudding  hamobu | 11/06/08
Self Interest  daengbo | 11/06/08
Too simple, sometimes naive (NT)  LBiege | 11/05/08
Everyone can participate  linuser | 11/06/08
Epic Failure  Aussie_Troll | 11/06/08
Incompatable  epcraig | 11/06/08
Sorry, that dog won't hunt.  No_Ax_to_Grind | 11/06/08
What about 1% Bill Gates  BiroTom | 11/06/08
Emotional consolation for business failure  Anton Philidor | 11/06/08
You keep pushing this convoluted "theory" ...  MisterMiester | 11/06/08
Greed, definitely.  Anton Philidor | 11/06/08
Because it's overreaching ...  MisterMiester | 11/07/08
The horse lives and frolics and is favored in his next race.  Anton Philidor | 11/07/08
Again with the Straw man?  MisterMiester | 11/07/08
Burning straw  Anton Philidor | 11/07/08
@Anton - Out of context ...  MisterMiester | 11/07/08
Is "corrupt corruption" legal now?  Anton Philidor | 11/07/08
@Anton: On corrupt corruption  jbroche18 | 11/10/08
Nonsense  hamobu | 11/06/08
so MS exec dont get rish  Aussie_Troll | 11/07/08
This is proof that open source is better for society  hamobu | 11/06/08
Wrong !!  Aussie_Troll | 11/07/08
Opensource profits are reasonable; Microsoft's billions aren't.  softwareFlunky | 11/07/08
And you do? (nt)  readwrite | 11/08/08
Times have changed, you have to make ludacris amounts of cash  Boot_Agnostic | 11/19/08

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